Mazitova Marina G.

The article analyzes the main markets of the Asia-Pacifi region from the perspective of assessing the niche of Russian energy resources: NEA-3 countries (Japan, the Republic of Korea, China) and India. Based on a synthesis of expert assessments from the leading research groups, it is shown that reduction in the size of the fossil fuel energy markets of Japan and the Republic of Korea is occurring at the fastest rate.Signifi reduction in exports to these countries is predicted since these markets are traditional for Russia in the Asia-Pacifi region. It was determined that in the current situation, the most promising in terms of export of Russian energy resources are India and China, whose role has increased many times under the conditions of sanctions restrictions imposed on Russia since 2022. It is shown that compensatory capabilities of the economies of China and India to compensate closed to Russia energy markets are limited. In the medium term there is a still high potential for increasing exports, in the long term this requires expansion of the transport infrastructure. However, despite all these limitations, it is possible to predict partial preservation of market niches in the markets of NEA-3 and India for the Russian fossil fuels. In the emerging hydrogen market, the niches of Japan and the Republic of Korea will likely be closed to Russia; in the markets of China and India, which focused on their own production, Russian products will most likely lose out in price competition.

International separation of the production process and, as a result, forming of the complex regional and global production networks influences international trade. Increase in the amount of world trade in the last decades is connected with increasing of trade in intermediate goods which are used in the international production of final products. The greatest contribution to the world trade by intermediate goods is made by intraregional flows of commodities of the countries of the European Union, Eastern Asia and the member countries of NAFTA. Feature of the Eastern Asia is that the amount of intermediate trade of economies of the region steadily increased during the considered period against the background of reduction of amounts in the Northern America and Europe. In this article the main tendencies of international trade in the subregion of SVA are considered. The countries of "Big Triad" (the People's Republic of China, the Republic of Korea, Japan) take the leading positions in the intraregional export and import of intermediate products though for the export of the People's Republic of China the role of the Eastern Asia decreased that is connected with the growing integration of the country at the world markets. The shares of countries in trade in the primary goods and final products are changed during the considered period that is connected with the change of roles of the countries in the regional production networks.